Match Info
Top 14 - Round 25Date: 31 May 2026, SundayLocation: Stade Mayol (Toulon)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 France | CANAL+ France |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
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Toulon |
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Bordeaux Bègles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.4 |
21 |
3.1 |
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 |
1.47 |
22 |
2.75 |
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 |
1.45 |
23.39 |
3.02 |
 Watch |
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1.4 |
21 |
2.8 |
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1.37 |
20 |
3.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.91) |
21.48 ↑
(18.33) |
2.96 ↑
(1.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Toulon
64.7% | Draw
4.3% | Bordeaux Bègles
31% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulon's performance.Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bordeaux Bègles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-19.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (+19.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bordeaux Bègles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Gros J.
| 1. Poirot J.
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2. Baubigny T.
| 2. Sa C.
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3.  Sinckler K.
| 3. Falatea S.
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4. Mezou C.
| 4.  Zapedowski A.
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5.  Alainu'uese B.
| 5.  Jacobs T.
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6. Karaba J.
| 6.  Swinton L.
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7. Coulon J.
| 7. Palu B.
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8. Mercer Z.
| 8. Matiu T.
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9. Serin B.
| 9.  Page-Relo M.
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10.  Albornoz T.
| 10. Reus H.
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11. Ferte M.
| 11.  Tambwe M.
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12. Frisch A.
| 12. Moefana Y.
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13. Brex N.
| 13. Mousques X.
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14.  Tuicuvu S.
| 14. Uberti P.
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15. Jaminet M.
| 15. Buros R.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Damond P.
| 16. Lamothe M.
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17. Ametlla L.
| 17. Boniface U.
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18.  Javakhia G.
| 18. Bochaton P.
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19. Kpoku J.
| 19. Gazzotti M.
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20. Shioshvili M.
| 20. Lucu M.
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21.  White B.
| 21. Retiere A.
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22. Garcia M.
| 22. Rayasi S.
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23. Gigashvili B.
| 23.  Tameifuna B.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 7)
- 14', Albornoz T. (Try),
- 14', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Uberti P. 🟨,
- 24', Falatea S. (Try),
- 24', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Albornoz T. (Try),
- 34', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Tuicuvu S. (Try),
- 40+1', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 15)
- 43', Tameifuna B. (Try),
- 43', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Reus H. (Penalty Goal),
- 65', Buros R. (Try),
- 69', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
- 80', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 1.Toulon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Bordeaux Bègles is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Toulon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Toulon might have a minor edge in this game.We predict that Toulon will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 530:460. (average 26.5:23).Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 302:145. (average 33.6:16.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 3 | Bordeaux Begles | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 215:151 | 19 |
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| 10 | RC Toulonnais | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 130:130 | 12 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 21.12.25 | Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon | 46:7 | | 21.06.25 | Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon | 39:24 | | 01.06.25 | Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles | 27:10 | | 28.12.24 | Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon | 21:17 | | 04.02.24 | Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles | 32:37 | | 03.09.23 | Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon | 22:17 | | 28.05.23 | Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles | 35:19 |
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Upcoming Matches
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