Match Info

Top 14 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	16:35	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3
United Kingdom	15:35	FloSports app
International	14:35	TOP 14 Rugby TV


	Toulon		Racing Métro

	1	X	2
	1.3	26	3.6
	1.31	27	3.5
	1.36	24.89	3.39	Watch
	1.31	26	3.45
	1.33	30	3.24
	1.31	27	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.25)	26.82 ↑ (23.61)	3.45 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
69.8%

Draw
3.4%

Racing Métro
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Métro's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulon - Racing Métro Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:24

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gros J.	1. Jabea Njocke E.
2. Baubigny T.	2. Escobar D.
3. Sinckler K.	3. Bamba D.
4. Kpoku J.	4. Lainault T.
5. Ribbans D.	5. Taofifenua R.
6. Ludlam L. (C)	6. Diallo I.
7. Ollivon C.	7. Manyarara S.
8. Mercer Z.	8. Baudonne M.
9. Serin B.	9. Gibert A.
10. Albornoz T.	10. Seunes U.
11. Ferte M.	11. Ravutaumada S.
12. Fickou G.	12. Tuisova J.
13. Brex N.	13. Habosi V.
14. Tuicuvu S.	14. Naituvi W.
15. Rebbadj R.	15. Spring M. (C)
Substitutes
16. Damond P.	16. Basse Y.
17. Ametlla L.	17. Kharaishvili G.
18. Cancoriet J.	18. Hughes N.
19. Karaba J.	19. Joseph J.
20. Jones H.	20. Martins N.
21. White B.	21. Sanconnie F.
22. Keletaona L.	22. Machenaud M.
23. Gigashvili B.	23. Tupou T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 7)
7', Sinckler K. 🟨,
20', Gros J. (Try),
21', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
27', Baubigny T. (Try),
28', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
30', Gibert A. (Try),
31', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (15 - 8)
43', Albornoz T. (Penalty Goal),
55', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
58', Albornoz T. (Penalty Goal),
63', Albornoz T. (Penalty Goal),
68', Albornoz T. (Penalty Goal),
71', Manyarara S. (Try),
71', Seunes U. (Missed Conversion),
75', Karaba J. 🟨,
78', Albornoz T. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 13th in the Pro D2 (Relegation) and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Toulon (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Racing Métro have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Toulon is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toulon has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 420:536 (averaging 21:26.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Toulon against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 272:284 goals (averaging 24.7:25.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	RC Toulonnais	7	3	0	4	171:150	17
13	Racing 92	7	2	0	5	160:216	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
04.10.26	Montpellier - Toulon	28:0 ✺
26.09.26	Toulon - Vannes	28:10 ✺
19.09.26	Castres - Toulon	29:27 ✺
12.09.26	Toulon - La Rochelle	20:21 ✺
05.09.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Racing Métro 92
French Top 14
03.10.26	Racing Métro - Perpignan	55:25 ✺
26.09.26	Racing Métro - Aviron Bayonnais	17:20 ✺
19.09.26	La Rochelle - Racing Métro	10:20 ✺
12.09.26	Racing Métro - Lyon	31:48 ✺
05.09.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Racing Métro	64:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
16.05.26	Racing Métro - Toulon	43:28
19.10.25	Toulon - Racing Métro	38:21
04.01.25	Toulon - Racing Métro	36:24
12.10.24	Racing Métro - Toulon	22:6
10.03.24	Racing Métro - Toulon	20:6
12.11.23	Toulon - Racing Métro	31:26
13.05.23	Racing Métro - Toulon	43:7

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