The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castres 61.8%
Draw 4.5%
Toulon 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
5.1%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castres's performance.
Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Castres - Toulon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:25
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Walcker Q.
1. Ametlla L.
2. Durand T.
2. Lucchesi G.
3. Corato N.
3. Slimani R.
4. Ducat G.
4. Mezou C.
5. Staniforth T.
5. Shioshvili M.
6. Delaporte B. (C)
6. Kpoku J.
7. Ringuet K.
7. Abadie E.
8. Tukino F.
8. Ludlam L. (C)
9. Arata S.
9. White B.
10. Vidal T.
10. Albornoz T.
11. Baget R.
11. Tuicuvu S.
12. Cocagi A.
12. Brex N.
13. Goodhue J.
13. Jones H.
14. Vargas A.
14. Cowie O.
15. Chabouni T.
15. Ferte M.
Substitutes
16. Zarantonello L.
16. Baubigny T.
17. Galisson L.
17. Gros J.
18. Vanverberghe F.
18. Rebbadj S.
19. Watson H.
19. Tuifua P.
20. Fernandez J.
20. Karaba J.
21. Guilhot L.
21. Serin B.
22. Botitu V.
22. Keletaona L.
23. Chilachava L.
23. Sorhaindo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (15 - 15)
11', Lucchesi G. (Try),
11', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
17', Cowie O. (Try),
25', Tukino F. (Try),
25', Vidal T. (Conversion Goal),
32', Vidal T. (Penalty Goal),
34', Albornoz T. (Penalty Goal),
39', Vargas A. (Try),
2nd Half (14 - 12)
53', Gros J. (Try),
54', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
61', Vanverberghe F. (Try),
62', Vidal T. (Conversion Goal),
66', Ferte M. (Try),
71', Baubigny T. 🟨,
72', Baget R. (Try),
73', Vidal T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 2.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Castres holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Castres has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 440:541 (averaging 22:27.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Castres against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 231:166 goals (averaging 28.9:20.8 per game).