Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 24

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	US Dax		FC Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.53	21	2.6
	1.49	21	2.7
	1.55	20.63	2.64	Watch
	1.5	21	2.63
	1.45	15	2.82
	1.4	15	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	18.94 ↓ (21)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

US Dax
61.5%

Draw
4.8%

FC Grenoble
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

4.4%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

4.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

US Dax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

FC Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Grenoble than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

US Dax - FC Grenoble Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 12)
2nd Half (22 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

US Dax could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that US Dax will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 143:233. (average 17.9:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, US Dax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 59:80. (average 19.7:26.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Grenoble FC	5	3	0	2	164:142	14
7	US Dax	5	3	0	2	185:187	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Dax
French Pro D2
06.03.26	Oyonnax Rugby - US Dax	52:16 ✺
27.02.26	Brive - US Dax	48:24 ✺
20.02.26	US Dax - Provence Rugby	33:21 ✺
13.02.26	US Dax - Stade Aurillacois	19:15 ✺
30.01.26	Béziers - US Dax	10:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL
- FC Grenoble
French Pro D2
06.03.26	FC Grenoble - SA XV Charente	24:20 ✺
27.02.26	Nevers - FC Grenoble	26:20 ✺
21.02.26	FC Grenoble - Brive	20:18 ✺
13.02.26	Béziers - FC Grenoble	23:17 ✺
30.01.26	Biarritz - FC Grenoble	25:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
19.12.25	FC Grenoble - US Dax	24:20
20.02.25	US Dax - FC Grenoble	18:29
19.09.24	FC Grenoble - US Dax	19:13
23.05.24	FC Grenoble - US Dax	58:10
19.01.24	FC Grenoble - US Dax	24:27
01.09.23	US Dax - FC Grenoble	28:23
02.03.18	FC Grenoble - US Dax	28:14

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