Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 21

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France


	FC Grenoble		Brive

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.48	23	2.7
	1.49	22.96	2.78	Watch
	1.44	23	2.75
	1.45	17	2.85
	1.37	26	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)	22.16 ↑ (21)	2.84 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Grenoble
63.6%

Draw
4.1%

Brive
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

4.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Grenoble than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Grenoble, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FC Grenoble - Brive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 15)
2nd Half (17 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Grenoble won 2.

FC Grenoble has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brive has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, FC Grenoble is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, FC Grenoble won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 308:383. (average 22:27.4).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Grenoble won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 174:133. (average 29:22.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	CA Brive	5	5	0	0	168:106	21
6	Grenoble FC	5	3	0	2	164:142	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grenoble
French Pro D2
13.02.26	Béziers - FC Grenoble	23:17 ✺
30.01.26	Biarritz - FC Grenoble	25:15 ✺
23.01.26	FC Grenoble - Vannes	26:29 ✺
16.01.26	FC Grenoble - Agen	45:36 ✺
08.01.26	Provence Rugby - FC Grenoble	45:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- CA Brive
French Pro D2
13.02.26	Brive - Agen	18:13 ✺
30.01.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Brive	20:3 ✺
23.01.26	Brive - Béziers	43:6 ✺
17.01.26	Vannes - Brive	35:7 ✺
09.01.26	Brive - Biarritz	61:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
26.09.25	Brive - FC Grenoble	24:21
09.05.25	Brive - FC Grenoble	38:13
13.12.24	FC Grenoble - Brive	34:22
15.02.24	FC Grenoble - Brive	40:29
13.10.23	Brive - FC Grenoble	38:26
French Top 14
02.06.19	Brive - FC Grenoble	28:22
07.01.17	Brive - FC Grenoble	23:22

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