Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 6

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	US Dax		Vannes

	1	X	2
	2.88	21	1.44
	2.8	23	1.45
	2.83	21.94	1.47	Watch
	2.7	27	1.49
	2.9	21	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	22.79 ↑ (17)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

US Dax
32.7%

Draw
4.1%

Vannes
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

5.3%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

5.4%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

US Dax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vannes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vannes than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

US Dax - Vannes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vannes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 49.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 10)
2nd Half (10 - 6)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 2.

US Dax is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vannes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vannes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 130:181. (average 21.7:30.2).

Including home matches between the teams, US Dax won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 89:89. (average 29.7:29.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Dax
French Pro D2
26.09.25	Provence Rugby - US Dax	42:15 ✺
19.09.25	US Dax - Oyonnax Rugby	18:14 ✺
12.09.25	SA XV Charente - US Dax	28:23 ✺
05.09.25	US Dax - Brive	8:23 ✺
29.08.25	Valence Romans Drôme - US Dax	36:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- RC Vannes
French Pro D2
26.09.25	Stade Aurillacois - Vannes	17:22 ✺
19.09.25	Vannes - Provence Rugby	40:7 ✺
12.09.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Vannes	30:28 ✺
05.09.25	Vannes - SA XV Charente	28:9 ✺
30.08.25	Brive - Vannes	30:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
12.04.24	Vannes - US Dax	42:10
13.10.23	US Dax - Vannes	22:34
15.04.18	US Dax - Vannes	34:28
03.11.17	Vannes - US Dax	34:9
27.01.17	Vannes - US Dax	16:22
07.10.16	US Dax - Vannes	33:27

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