Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 2


	Provence Rugby		US Dax

	1	X	2
	1.04	41	10
	1.02	45	11
	1.02	50	15
	1.03	41	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 (1.03)	44.25 ↑ (41)	12 ↓ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-24)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Rugby
90.2%

Draw
2.1%

US Dax
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.6%

2.3%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

US Dax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Provence Rugby - US Dax Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 1 - 50%). US Dax will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 10)
2nd Half (24 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 3.

In this match, Provence Rugby is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 228:145. (average 32.6:20.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Provence Rugby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 134:55. (average 44.7:18.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
19.09.25	Vannes - Provence Rugby	40:7 ✺
12.09.25	Provence Rugby - Biarritz	52:8 ✺
05.09.25	Provence Rugby - Valence Romans Drôme	30:33 ✺
29.08.25	SA XV Charente - Provence Rugby	28:25 ✺
29.05.25	FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby	38:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- US Dax
French Pro D2
19.09.25	US Dax - Oyonnax Rugby	18:14 ✺
12.09.25	SA XV Charente - US Dax	28:23 ✺
05.09.25	US Dax - Brive	8:23 ✺
29.08.25	Valence Romans Drôme - US Dax	36:23 ✺
16.05.25	Nissa - US Dax	36:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
04.04.25	Provence Rugby - US Dax	57:0
12.12.24	US Dax - Provence Rugby	23:22
12.01.24	Provence Rugby - US Dax	54:26
18.08.23	US Dax - Provence Rugby	16:41
26.02.16	Provence Rugby - US Dax	23:29
16.10.15	US Dax - Provence Rugby	26:19
06.04.13	US Dax - Provence Rugby	25:12

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