Match Info

World Rugby Nations Cup - Round 3

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
International	RugbyPass TV


	USA		Spain

	1	X	2
	1.62	24	2.33
	1.59	22.75	2.28
	1.75	23	2.14
	1.62	24	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	23.44 ↓ (25)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
55.7%

Draw
3.9%

Spain
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.5%

3.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

USA - Spain Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iscaro J.	1. Tabarot L.
2. Pifeleti K.	2. Garcia A. (C)
3. Kofe T.	3. Pirlet H.
4. den Hoedt N.	4. Ariceta M.
5. Harvey B.	5. Suarez A.
6. Daniel C.	6. Velez G.
7. Ryan P.	7. Pineiro I.
8. Damm J. (C)	8. Imaz E.
9. De Haas R.	9. Bay E.
10. Hilsenbeck C.	10. Lopez Bontempo G.
11. Mayo P.	11. Carmona A.
12. Besag D.	12. Gimeno A.
13. Roberts J.	13. Cian M.
14. O'Keefee M.	14. Minguillon G.
15. Wilson M.	15. Bell J.
Substitutes
16. Klein S.	16. Ovejero S.
17. Lindenmuth E.	17. Futeu T.
18. Abel C.	18. Zabala J.
19. Maafu N.	19. Boronat V.
20. Bonasso B.	20. Gonzalez D.
21. McVeigh E.	21. Aurrekoetxea K.
22. Carty L.	22. Mateu I.
23. Lopeti T.	23. Manteca J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 12)
11', Wilson M. (Try),
12', Hilsenbeck C. (Conversion Goal),
13', Bay E. (Try),
14', Lopez Bontempo G. (Conversion Goal),
18', Ryan P. (Try),
19', Hilsenbeck C. (Conversion Goal),
28', Mayo P. 🟨,
33', Manteca J. (Try),
39', Roberts J. (Try),
2nd Half (10 - 10)
48', Cian M. (Try),
49', Lopez Bontempo G. (Conversion Goal),
60', Lopez Bontempo G. (Penalty Goal),
66', Carty L. (Penalty Try),
73', Carty L. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

USA will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, USA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 99:71. (average 24.8:17.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA rugby
World Rugby Nations Cup
11.07.26	USA - Zimbabwe	31:15 ✺
04.07.26	USA - Portugal	30:29 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
15.11.25	Romania - USA	18:26 ✺
08.11.25	Georgia - USA	43:30 ✺
01.11.25	Scotland - USA	85:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL
- Spain rugby
World Rugby Nations Cup
11.07.26	Tonga - Spain	19:32 ✺
04.07.26	Canada - Spain	42:42 ✺
Rugby Europe Championship
15.03.26	Romania - Spain	23:29 ✺
08.03.26	Portugal - Spain	26:7 ✺
21.02.26	Georgia - Spain	42:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
12.07.25	USA - Spain	20:31
23.11.24	Spain - USA	23:26
Sevens World Series USA
25.01.14	USA - Spain	31:10
09.02.13	Spain - USA	7:22

USA - Spain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide