Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 28

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	Valence Romans Drôme		Brive

	1	X	2
	1.62	21	2.38
	1.62	21	2.34
	1.64	20.32	2.39	Watch
	1.62	21	2.38
	1.63	21	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)	20.86 ↑ (16.19)	2.38 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valence Romans Drôme
56.7%

Draw
4.4%

Brive
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

5.7%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

6.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valence Romans Drôme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valence Romans Drôme's form might have worsened.

Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brive's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valence Romans Drôme than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valence Romans Drôme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valence Romans Drôme - Brive Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Valence Romans will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 9)
2nd Half (20 - 18)

Preview

Recent performances by Valence Romans have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brive is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Valence Romans could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Valence Romans will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valence Romans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 109:132. (average 21.8:26.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Valence Romans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 87:29. (average 43.5:14.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	CA Brive	5	5	0	0	168:106	21
10	Valence Romans	5	1	0	4	120:119	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valence Romans Drôme Rugby
French Pro D2
17.04.26	Nevers - Valence Romans Drôme	36:35 ✺
10.04.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Colomiers	32:25 ✺
02.04.26	FC Grenoble - Valence Romans Drôme	19:25 ✺
27.03.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Oyonnax Rugby	40:21 ✺
06.03.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Vannes	26:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL
- CA Brive
French Pro D2
17.04.26	Brive - Stade Aurillacois	75:9 ✺
11.04.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Brive	26:11 ✺
03.04.26	Brive - Provence Rugby	53:13 ✺
27.03.26	SA XV Charente - Brive	9:28 ✺
05.03.26	Colomiers - Brive	10:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
12.09.25	Brive - Valence Romans Drôme	48:10
04.04.25	Brive - Valence Romans Drôme	26:9
01.11.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Brive	42:19
23.02.24	Brive - Valence Romans Drôme	29:3
13.09.23	Valence Romans Drôme - Brive	45:10

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