Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 25

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Brive		Provence Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.08	34	7.5
	1.09	35	6.8
	1.08	35.68	8.43	Watch
	1.08	34	7.5
	1.06	34	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.33)	34.54 ↑ (22.75)	7.75 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brive
85.4%

Draw
2.7%

Provence Rugby
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

4.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

4.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brive's performance.

Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Provence Rugby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brive that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Provence Rugby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Brive - Provence Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brive will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:19

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (27 - 13)
2nd Half (26 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brive won 2.

Brive is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Provence Rugby has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brive may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brive is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Brive won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 207:170. (average 23:18.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brive won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 110:45. (average 27.5:11.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	CA Brive	5	5	0	0	168:106	21
3	Provence Rugby	5	5	0	0	160:108	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Brive
French Pro D2
27.03.26	SA XV Charente - Brive	9:28 ✺
05.03.26	Colomiers - Brive	10:23 ✺
27.02.26	Brive - US Dax	48:24 ✺
21.02.26	FC Grenoble - Brive	20:18 ✺
13.02.26	Brive - Agen	18:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW
- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
26.03.26	Provence Rugby - Colomiers	20:25 ✺
06.03.26	Biarritz - Provence Rugby	26:18 ✺
27.02.26	Provence Rugby - Agen	22:24 ✺
20.02.26	US Dax - Provence Rugby	33:21 ✺
13.02.26	Provence Rugby - Oyonnax Rugby	35:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
31.10.25	Provence Rugby - Brive	25:3
18.04.25	Brive - Provence Rugby	24:17
17.10.24	Provence Rugby - Brive	23:20
26.01.24	Provence Rugby - Brive	30:24
07.09.23	Brive - Provence Rugby	17:6
15.03.19	Brive - Provence Rugby	45:14
06.12.18	Provence Rugby - Brive	22:20

Upcoming Matches