Match Info

Six Nations U20 - Round 5

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport, S4C Clic, S4C Digital


	Wales U20		Italy U20

	1	X	2
	1.32	25	3.4
	1.10	23.95	7.89	Watch
	1.3	23	3.4
	1.31	21	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)	23.24 ↑ (21.33)	4.58 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wales U20
75.3%

Draw
4.1%

Italy U20
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

4.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wales U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wales U20's performance.

Italy U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Wales U20 - Italy U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:24

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tuckley G.	1. Brasini C.
2. Howe T.	2. Pelli V.
3. Pritchard J.	3. Trevisan L.
4. Evans L.	4. Fardin S.
5. Williams O.	5. Sette D.
6. Gwynne D.	6. Miranda A. I.
7. James C.	7. Wilson J.
8. Kossuth D.	8. Zanella A.
9. Davies S.	9. Varottoj N.
10. Lucas L.	10. Braga F.
11. Bowen T.	11. Rossi L.
12. Emanuel S.	12. Casarin R.
13. Darwin-Lewis O.	13. De Novellis L.
14. Scott D.	14. Faissal M.
15. Edwards L.	15. Celi P.
Substitutes
16. Thomas O.	16. Reina A.
17. James D.	17. Messori G.
18. Godfrey I.	18. Meroi E.
19. Rees O.	19. Kurti T.
20. Williams O.	20. Dene I.
21. Ridgway A.	21. Teodosio A.
22. Pritchard C.	22. Degli Antoni G.
23. Jones S.	23. Del Sureto T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 10)
9', Edwards L. (Try),
9', Lucas L. (Conversion Goal),
24', Miranda A. I. (Try),
32', Wilson J. (Try),
36', Lucas L. (Penalty Goal),
40+2', Lucas L. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 10)
51', Pelli V. (Try),
54', Fardin S. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wales U20 won 3.

In this match, Wales U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wales U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 340:247. (average 24.3:17.6).

Standings

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Wales U20	5	3	0	2	94:133	12
4	Italy U20	5	2	0	3	84:133	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wales U20 rugby
Six Nations U20
07.03.26	Ireland U20 - Wales U20	48:33 ✺
20.02.26	Wales U20 - Scotland U20	31:21 ✺
14.02.26	Wales U20 - France U20	29:34 ✺
06.02.26	England U20 - Wales U20	19:16 ✺
World Championship U20 Rugby Union
19.07.25	Italy U20 - Wales U20	31:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Italy U20 rugby
Six Nations U20
06.03.26	Italy U20 - England U20	17:37 ✺
21.02.26	France U20 - Italy U20	32:17 ✺
13.02.26	Ireland U20 - Italy U20	30:27 ✺
06.02.26	Italy U20 - Scotland U20	10:36 ✺
World Championship U20 Rugby Union
19.07.25	Italy U20 - Wales U20	31:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship U20 Rugby Union
19.07.25	Italy U20 - Wales U20	31:23
Six Nations U20
07.02.25	Italy U20 - Wales U20	18:20
15.03.24	Wales U20 - Italy U20	27:15
10.03.23	Italy U20 - Wales U20	29:25
Six Nations Summer Series U20
06.07.22	Wales U20 - Italy U20	23:20
Six Nations U20
20.03.22	Wales U20 - Italy U20	20:27
19.06.21	Italy U20 - Wales U20	8:25

Wales U20 - Italy U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide