Match Info

Six Nations Women - Round 5

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	ProSieben Maxx
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	ProSieben Maxx
Ireland	RTE Player
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Two
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+


	Wales W		Italy W

	1	X	2
	3.35	23	1.34
	3.38	22.64	1.36	Watch
	3.6	21	1.34
	3.2	26	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	23.16 ↑ (20.68)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wales W
27.4%

Draw
4%

Italy W
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

4.5%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wales W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Wales W - Italy W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:29

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pyrs G.	1. Turani S.
2. Jones K.	2. Vecchini V.
3. Tuipulotu S.	3. Maris G.
4. Metcalfe B.	4. Fedrighi V.
5. Evans G.	5. Duca G.
6. Aiono J.	6. Sgorbini F.
7. Lewis B. (C)	7. Ranuccini A.
8. King B.	8. Giordano E. (C)
9. Bevan K.	9. Stefan S.
10. George L.	10. Madia V.
11. Joyce J.	11. D'Inca A.
12. Keight C.	12. Mannini S.
13. Cox C.	13. Sillari M.
14. Singleton S.	14. Granzotto F.
15. Powell K.	15. Minuzzi V.
Substitutes
16. Reardon M.	16. Cheli C.
17. Davies M.	17. Zanette V.
18. Rose D.	18. Dosi G.
19. John N.	19. Frangipani A.
20. Joyce-Butchers A.	20. Veronese B.
21. Lockwood S.	21. Bitonci A.
22. Dallavalle H.	22. Stevanin E.
23. Prothero N.	23. Muzzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 17)
3', Minuzzi V. (Try),
9', Keight C. (Try),
13', Granzotto F. (Try),
14', Sillari M. (Conversion Goal),
23', Cox C. (Try),
24', Bevan K. (Conversion Goal),
26', D'Inca A. (Try),
40', Jones K. (Try),
40+1', Bevan K. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (5 - 26)
47', Sgorbini F. (Try),
52', Minuzzi V. (Try),
53', Sillari M. (Conversion Goal),
60', Granzotto F. 🟨,
68', Madia V. (Try),
69', Sillari M. (Conversion Goal),
77', D'Inca A. (Try),
78', Sillari M. (Conversion Goal),
80', Powell K. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wales won 2.

In this match, Italy is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wales won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 148:160. (average 14.8:16).

Standings

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Italy W	5	2	0	3	107:155	10
6	Wales W	5	0	0	5	71:217	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wales W rugby
Six Nations Women
09.05.26	Ireland W - Wales W	33:12 ✺
25.04.26	England W - Wales W	62:24 ✺
18.04.26	Wales W - France W	7:38 ✺
11.04.26	Wales W - Scotland W	19:24 ✺
World Cup Rugby Union Women
06.09.25	Wales W - Fiji W	25:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Italy W rugby
Six Nations Women
09.05.26	Italy W - England W	33:61 ✺
25.04.26	Italy W - Scotland W	41:14 ✺
18.04.26	Ireland W - Italy W	57:20 ✺
11.04.26	France W - Italy W	40:7 ✺
World Cup Rugby Union Women
07.09.25	Italy W - Brazil W	64:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Six Nations Women
27.04.25	Italy W - Wales W	44:12
WXV 2 Rugby Women
04.10.24	Wales W - Italy W	5:8
Six Nations Women
27.04.24	Wales W - Italy W	22:20
29.04.23	Italy W - Wales W	10:36
30.04.22	Wales W - Italy W	8:10
02.02.20	Wales W - Italy W	15:19
09.02.19	Italy W - Wales W	3:3

Wales W - Italy W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide