The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wasps RFC 31.2%
Draw 3.8%
Leicester Tigers 65%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
3.7%
62.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
3.9%
59.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wasps RFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wasps RFC than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Wasps RFC - Leicester Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Wasps will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Leicester Tigers will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester Tigers: 50.5% โ 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:30
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs)).
Wasps is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Leicester Tigers is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Leicester Tigers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Leicester Tigers is a favorite.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Wasps won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 494-497.
Including matches at home between the teams Wasps won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 351-291.