Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:05	Disney+
Australia	12:05	Stan Sport
Brazil	23:05	Disney+
Chile	22:05	Disney+
Colombia	21:05	Disney+
Mexico	20:05	Disney+
Peru	21:05	Disney+
Uruguay	23:05	Disney+
Venezuela	22:05	Disney+


	Wellington		Auckland

	1	X	2
	1.28	26	3.75
	1.29	30	3.5
	1.33	22.75	3.61	Watch
	1.29	29	3.5
				Watch
	1.28	25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	26.55 ↓ (28)	3.56 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington
70.8%

Draw
3.5%

Auckland
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.6%

3.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Auckland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Wellington - Auckland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 7)
2nd Half (19 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 4.

Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wellington is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 317:266. (average 31.7:26.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 138:97. (average 34.5:24.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Rugby
New Zealand NPC
24.08.25	Manawatu - Wellington	38:28 ✺
16.08.25	Wellington - Otago	41:46 ✺
08.08.25	Waikato - Wellington	24:35 ✺
01.08.25	Wellington - Canterbury	15:33 ✺
25.10.24	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	23:20 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW
- Auckland Rugby
New Zealand NPC
23.08.25	Auckland - Northland	24:43 ✺
16.08.25	Auckland - Taranaki	8:50 ✺
09.08.25	Canterbury - Auckland	19:15 ✺
31.07.25	Auckland - Waikato	35:36 ✺
05.10.24	Auckland - Bay of Plenty	24:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
09.08.24	Auckland - Wellington	21:29
14.10.22	Wellington - Auckland	54:19
20.09.20	Auckland - Wellington	21:39
21.09.19	Auckland - Wellington	15:34
20.10.18	Auckland - Wellington	38:17
04.10.18	Wellington - Auckland	24:29
05.09.14	Auckland - Wellington	31:30

Wellington - Auckland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide