Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:05	Disney+
Australia	12:05	Stan Sport
Brazil	23:05	Disney+
Chile	22:05	Disney+
Colombia	21:05	Disney+
Mexico	20:05	Disney+
Peru	21:05	Disney+
Uruguay	23:05	Disney+
Venezuela	22:05	Disney+


	Wellington		Canterbury

	1	X	2
	1.67	21	2.2
	1.62	22	2.35
	1.58	24.87	2.49	Watch
	1.57	23	2.4
	1.64	19	2.4	Watch
	1.65	21	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)	21.81 ↑ (21.5)	2.36 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington
56.8%

Draw
4.2%

Canterbury
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

4.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Canterbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wellington - Canterbury Predictions

Users Predictions: Wellington will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wellington will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 7)
2nd Half (8 - 26)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 4.

Wellington might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 374:365. (average 26.7:26.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 212:151. (average 30.3:21.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Rugby
New Zealand NPC
25.10.24	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	23:20 OT ✺
19.10.24	Wellington - Waikato	29:24 ✺
11.10.24	Wellington - Counties Manukau	29:14 ✺
04.10.24	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	46:28 ✺
27.09.24	Counties Manukau - Wellington	51:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- Canterbury
New Zealand NPC
18.10.24	Bay of Plenty - Canterbury	32:20 ✺
12.10.24	Tasman - Canterbury	14:62 ✺
05.10.24	Canterbury - Waikato	36:19 ✺
28.09.24	North Harbour - Canterbury	65:19 ✺
20.09.24	Canterbury - Counties Manukau	36:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
31.08.24	Canterbury - Wellington	21:46
26.08.23	Canterbury - Wellington	31:36
22.10.22	Wellington - Canterbury	26:18
13.08.22	Canterbury - Wellington	43:10
08.10.21	Wellington - Canterbury	35:30 OT
03.10.20	Canterbury - Wellington	26:26
19.10.19	Wellington - Canterbury	30:19

Wellington - Canterbury: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide