Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Worcester Warriors		Northampton Saints

	1	X	2
	2.2	21	1.72
	2.1	21	1.73
	2.17	25	1.72
	2.14	21	1.71
	2.05	19	1.8
	2.22	28	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2)	22.5 ↑ (19)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester Warriors
42.9%

Draw
4.1%

Northampton Saints
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

4.7%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

4.1%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester Warriors than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worcester Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Worcester Warriors - Northampton Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Worcester Warriors will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Northampton Saints will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Worcester Warriors: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 5).

Recent matches Worcester Warriors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Northampton Saints is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Northampton Saints could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Worcester Warriors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 265-544.

Including matches at home between the teams Worcester Warriors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 118-215.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester Warriors
Challenge Cup Rugby
22.01.22	Zebre - Worcester Warriors	26:36 ✺
15.01.22	Worcester Warriors - Toulon	23:34 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
09.01.22	Bath - Worcester Warriors	22:19 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
29.12.21	Worcester Warriors - Gloucester	27:21 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
26.12.21	Saracens - Worcester Warriors	61:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Northampton Saints
European Rugby Champions Cup
23.01.22	Racing Métro - Northampton Saints	Racing 92 awarded ✺
16.01.22	Northampton Saints - Ulster	20:24 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
08.01.22	Newcastle Red Bulls - Northampton Saints	8:44 ✺
02.01.22	Northampton Saints - Saracens	6:30 ✺
27.12.21	Harlequins - Northampton Saints	41:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 ?LWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
22.10.21	Northampton Saints - Worcester Warriors	66:10
27.03.21	Worcester Warriors - Northampton Saints	14:62
26.12.20	Northampton Saints - Worcester Warriors	29:10
06.03.20	Worcester Warriors - Northampton Saints	10:16
26.10.19	Northampton Saints - Worcester Warriors	35:16
04.05.19	Northampton Saints - Worcester Warriors	38:10
21.12.18	Worcester Warriors - Northampton Saints	6:32

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