Match Info

Shenzhen Open - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Ali Carter		He Guoqiang

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.50	2.50
	1.19	4.10	Watch
	1.42	2.67
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.37	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	2.88 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ali Carter
67.5%

He Guoqiang
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ali Carter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

He Guoqiang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ali Carter than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ali Carter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for He Guoqiang than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that He Guoqiang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ali Carter - He Guoqiang Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Carter will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). He will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

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Preview

Carter is ranked World Ranking: 24. He is ranked World Ranking: 48.

In recent matches, Carter has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

He is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carter might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carter won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 5.7:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ali Carter - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.42%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ali Carter
Snooker
13.07.26	Chris Wakelin - Ali Carter	2:2 ✺
13.07.26	Ali Carter - He Guoqiang	2:2 ✺
13.07.26	Ali Carter - David Gilbert	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Ali Carter - Jamie Jones	2:2
04.07.26	Ali Carter - Leone Crowley	3:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLTW
- He Guoqiang
Snooker
21.07.26	He Guoqiang - Haotian Lyu	5:3 ✺
13.07.26	David Gilbert - He Guoqiang	0:3 ✺
13.07.26	Ali Carter - He Guoqiang	2:2 ✺
13.07.26	Chris Wakelin - He Guoqiang	3:1 ✺
26.06.26	He Guoqiang - Sean O`Sullivan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
13.07.26	Ali Carter - He Guoqiang	2:2
16.04.25	He Guoqiang - Ali Carter	5:10
23.02.25	Ali Carter - He Guoqiang	5:3

Ali Carter - He Guoqiang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide