Match Info

UK Championship - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Ben Mertens		Jiang Jun

	1	2
	2.2	1.62
	2.15	1.59	Watch
	2.27	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Mertens
42%

Jiang Jun
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jiang Jun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Mertens than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiang Jun than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ben Mertens - Jiang Jun Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jun will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jun (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Mertens is ranked World Ranking: 67. Jun is ranked World Ranking: 97.

Mertens has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jun is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Jun will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Mertens
Snooker
03.11.25	Elliot Slessor - Ben Mertens	6:5 ✺
15.10.25	Ben Mertens - Julien Leclercq	4:2 ✺
30.09.25	Matthew Selt - Ben Mertens	3:6 ✺
25.09.25	John Higgins - Ben Mertens	4:1 ✺
25.09.25	Ben Mertens - Robbie McGuigan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW
- Jiang Jun
Snooker
23.11.25	Jiang Jun - Nutcharat Wongharuthai	6:0 ✺
05.11.25	Jiang Jun - Stephen Maguire	4:6 ✺
04.11.25	He Guoqiang - Jiang Jun	5:6 ✺
02.11.25	Jiang Jun - Chris Wakelin	6:2 ✺
15.10.25	Long Zehuang - Jiang Jun	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW

Ben Mertens - Jiang Jun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide