Match Info

German Masters - Qualification - Final

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	David Gilbert		Luca Brecel

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.07	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.09	1.69
	2.16	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Gilbert
44.1%

Luca Brecel
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Gilbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Luca Brecel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Gilbert than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (-3%)

David Gilbert - Luca Brecel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gilbert (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Gilbert is ranked World Ranking: 24. Brecel is ranked World Ranking: 43.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gilbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gilbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:14. (average 6.5:7).

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Brecel - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Gilbert
Snooker
05.01.26	David Gilbert - Jackson Page	3:1 ✺
05.01.26	Chris Wakelin - David Gilbert	3:2 ✺
05.01.26	David Gilbert - Joe O`Connor	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Elliot Slessor - David Gilbert	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	David Gilbert - Noppon Saengkham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL
- Luca Brecel
Snooker
07.01.26	Luca Brecel - Liam James Davies	5:2 ✺
13.12.25	Luca Brecel - Zhengyi Fan	0:75 ✺
12.12.25	Shaun Murphy - Luca Brecel	0:70 ✺
10.12.25	Long Zehuang - Luca Brecel	11:60 ✺
24.11.25	Luca Brecel - Ian Burns	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
20.04.24	Luca Brecel - David Gilbert	9:10
08.08.15	David Gilbert - Luca Brecel	3:5

David Gilbert - Luca Brecel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide