Match Info

British Open - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: The Centaur (Cheltenham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	David Gilbert		Shaun Murphy

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.79	1.36	Watch
	2.60	1.43
	2.81	1.40
	2.85	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.79)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Gilbert
33.9%

Shaun Murphy
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Gilbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Shaun Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Gilbert than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

Gilbert is ranked World Ranking: 33. Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gilbert won 2.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Murphy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murphy is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gilbert won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 95:22. (average 13.6:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Shaun Murphy - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 67.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Gilbert
Snooker
31.08.26	Mark Williams - David Gilbert	0:4 ✺
24.08.26	David Gilbert - Mark Williams	3:5 ✺
14.08.26	Yuelong Zhou - David Gilbert	6:5 ✺
12.08.26	David Gilbert - Wu Yize	6:2 ✺
08.08.26	Ding Junhui - David Gilbert	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLWW
- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
31.08.26	Shaun Murphy - Reanne Evans	4:0 ✺
24.08.26	Shaun Murphy - Junxu Pang	3:5 ✺
24.08.26	Shaun Murphy - Alfred Burden	5:0 ✺
14.08.26	Noppon Saengkham - Shaun Murphy	6:4 ✺
12.08.26	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
06.12.24	Shaun Murphy - David Gilbert	0:73
19.07.23	Shaun Murphy - David Gilbert	2:2
15.11.22	Shaun Murphy - David Gilbert	6:5
03.11.20	Shaun Murphy - David Gilbert	2:4
26.02.20	Shaun Murphy - David Gilbert	6:5
12.12.19	Shaun Murphy - David Gilbert	2:4
17.10.18	Shaun Murphy - David Gilbert	4:2

David Gilbert - Shaun Murphy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide