Match Info

China Open - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Eurosport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Greece	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Serbia	Eurosport 1
Slovakia	Eurosport 1
Sweden	HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	HBO Max


	Guodong Xiao		Shaun Murphy

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.60	1.43
	2.73	1.42
	2.85	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guodong Xiao
33.8%

Shaun Murphy
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guodong Xiao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

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Preview

Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 11. Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xiao won 2.

Xiao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Murphy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Xiao won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 2.9:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Guodong Xiao - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Shaun Murphy - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
28.07.26	Neil Robertson - Guodong Xiao	6:5 ✺
27.07.26	Guodong Xiao - Xu Jiarui	6:5 ✺
24.04.26	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	3:13 ✺
19.04.26	Guodong Xiao - Yuelong Zhou	10:6 ✺
18.03.26	Anda Zhang - Guodong Xiao	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
09.08.26	Shaun Murphy - Matthew Selt	6:0 ✺
30.07.26	Shaun Murphy - Wu Yize	5:6 ✺
29.07.26	Shaun Murphy - Yuelong Zhou	6:5 ✺
04.05.26	Shaun Murphy - Wu Yize	17:18 ✺
02.05.26	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	17:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
24.04.26	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	3:13
10.10.24	Shaun Murphy - Guodong Xiao	1:5
05.09.24	Shaun Murphy - Guodong Xiao	6:2
21.07.23	Shaun Murphy - Guodong Xiao	2:2
18.03.21	Shaun Murphy - Guodong Xiao	0:2
26.09.18	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	2:5
14.12.16	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	4:1

Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide