Match Info

Championship League

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	17:30	Viaplay
Finland	18:30	Viaplay
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
Norway	17:30	Viaplay
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay


	Guodong Xiao		Gary Wilson

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 (1.79)	1.98 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guodong Xiao
52.6%

Gary Wilson
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guodong Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gary Wilson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gary Wilson than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 11. Wilson is ranked World Ranking: 17.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xiao won 5.

Xiao is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Wilson has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wilson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Xiao won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:22. (average 4:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Guodong Xiao - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
09.01.26	Kyren Wilson - Guodong Xiao	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Neil Robertson - Guodong Xiao	2:3 ✺
08.01.26	Guodong Xiao - Matthew Selt	3:2 ✺
08.01.26	Guodong Xiao - Ben Woollaston	1:3 ✺
08.01.26	Zhao Xintong - Guodong Xiao	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW
- Gary Wilson
Snooker
09.01.26	Gary Wilson - Ben Woollaston	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Gary Wilson - Matthew Selt	3:1 ✺
08.01.26	Zhao Xintong - Gary Wilson	3:2 ✺
08.01.26	Kyren Wilson - Gary Wilson	3:2 ✺
08.01.26	Neil Robertson - Gary Wilson	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
06.01.26	Guodong Xiao - Gary Wilson	3:2
30.08.25	Guodong Xiao - Gary Wilson	10:9
05.02.24	Gary Wilson - Guodong Xiao	2:3
23.12.21	Guodong Xiao - Gary Wilson	3:2
17.02.21	Gary Wilson - Guodong Xiao	1:4
22.10.19	Guodong Xiao - Gary Wilson	1:3
13.12.17	Gary Wilson - Guodong Xiao	3:4

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gary Wilson
Snooker
01.11.26	Xu Si - Gary Wilson	✺

Guodong Xiao - Gary Wilson