Match Info

Welsh Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1


	Guodong Xiao		Jack Lisowski

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.64	2.10	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guodong Xiao
56.2%

Jack Lisowski
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guodong Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jack Lisowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Lisowski than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Preview

Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 10. Lisowski is ranked World Ranking: 22.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xiao won 3.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Lisowski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Xiao won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 3.3:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Guodong Xiao - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.15%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Jack Lisowski - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
24.02.26	Guodong Xiao - Long Zehuang	4:3 ✺
17.02.26	Chris Wakelin - Guodong Xiao	6:2 ✺
07.02.26	Guodong Xiao - Zhao Xintong	3:6 ✺
06.02.26	Si Jiahui - Guodong Xiao	2:5 ✺
05.02.26	Guodong Xiao - Ronnie O`Sullivan	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW
- Jack Lisowski
Snooker
24.02.26	Jack Lisowski - Louis Heathcote	4:2 ✺
17.02.26	Mark Selby - Jack Lisowski	6:3 ✺
12.02.26	Jack Lisowski - Gong Chenzhi	5:2 ✺
03.02.26	Jack Lisowski - Chang Bingyu	4:5 ✺
28.01.26	Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
28.01.26	Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao	1:5
22.01.26	Guodong Xiao - Jack Lisowski	3:2
06.11.24	Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao	3:6
01.03.23	Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao	3:1
03.02.23	Jack Lisowski - Guodong Xiao	5:3
22.12.21	Guodong Xiao - Jack Lisowski	3:2
21.03.21	Guodong Xiao - Jack Lisowski	2:0

Guodong Xiao - Jack Lisowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide