Match Info

German Masters - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1


	Ryan Day		Ben Mertens

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.50	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.49	2.51
	1.52	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 (1.51)	2.48 ↓ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Day
62.2%

Ben Mertens
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Day has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ben Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Day than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Mertens than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

Day is ranked World Ranking: 35. Mertens is ranked World Ranking: 67.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Day may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Day could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Day won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ryan Day - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.46%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Day
Snooker
15.12.25	Matthew Selt - Ryan Day	4:2 ✺
13.12.25	Ryan Day - Ethan Llewellyn	11:54 ✺
12.12.25	Ryan Day - Duane Jones	78:28 ✺
10.12.25	Umut Dikme - Ryan Day	8:90 ✺
29.11.25	Si Jiahui - Ryan Day	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- Ben Mertens
Snooker
06.01.26	Ben Mertens - Alexander Ursenbacher	5:1 ✺
17.12.25	Ben Mertens - Thepchaiya Un-Nooh	2:4 ✺
16.12.25	Mark Williams - Ben Mertens	Mertens B. walkover ✺
13.12.25	Ben Mertens - Robbie McGuigan	48:21 ✺
12.12.25	Ben Mertens - Liam Graham	36:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
11.02.25	Ryan Day - Ben Mertens	4:2

Ryan Day - Ben Mertens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide