Match Info

CHINA: Wuhan Open - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Shaun Murphy		Guodong Xiao

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.35	2.95
			Watch
	1.35	3.03	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	3 ↓ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaun Murphy
68.6%

Guodong Xiao
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaun Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Guodong Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shaun Murphy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guodong Xiao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 8. Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 29.

Now both players are in good shape.

In this match Murphy is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murphy won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:12 (average 2.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
09.10.24	Shaun Murphy - Ali Carter	5:4 ✺
08.10.24	Shaun Murphy - Noppon Saengkham	5:3 ✺
07.10.24	Shaun Murphy - Anthony Hamilton	5:3 ✺
01.10.24	Shaun Murphy - Louis Heathcote	6:4 ✺
25.09.24	John Higgins - Shaun Murphy	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
09.10.24	Barry Hawkins - Guodong Xiao	2:5 ✺
08.10.24	Guodong Xiao - Kyren Wilson	5:4 ✺
07.10.24	Guodong Xiao - Andrew Pagett	5:1 ✺
30.09.24	Guodong Xiao - Kreishh Gurbaxani	6:3 ✺
24.09.24	Mark Davis - Guodong Xiao	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
05.09.24	Shaun Murphy - Guodong Xiao	6:2
21.07.23	Shaun Murphy - Guodong Xiao	2:2
18.03.21	Shaun Murphy - Guodong Xiao	0:2
26.09.18	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	2:5
14.12.16	Guodong Xiao - Shaun Murphy	4:1

Shaun Murphy - Guodong Xiao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide