Match Info

UK Championship - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: York Barbican (York)


	John Higgins		Shaun Murphy

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.96	1.71	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.74	Watch
	2	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)	1.77 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Higgins
47.1%

Shaun Murphy
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Higgins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Higgins than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

John Higgins - Shaun Murphy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Frames - Higgins (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: John Higgins will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): John Higgins will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Higgins (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Murphy (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

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Preview

Higgins is ranked World Ranking: 6. Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Higgins won 2.

Higgins is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Murphy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Higgins won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 3.9:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Higgins
Snooker
29.11.25	John Higgins - Ben Woollaston	6:2 ✺
20.11.25	Mark Allen - John Higgins	4:2 ✺
19.11.25	John Higgins - Ding Junhui	4:0 ✺
13.11.25	John Higgins - Neil Robertson	6:4 ✺
13.11.25	John Higgins - Guodong Xiao	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW
- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
29.11.25	Shaun Murphy - Haotian Lyu	6:2 ✺
20.11.25	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	4:2 ✺
19.11.25	Ronnie O`Sullivan - Shaun Murphy	0:4 ✺
10.11.25	Shaun Murphy - Lei Peifan	1:4 ✺
06.11.25	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
06.11.25	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	2:6
07.03.25	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	5:3
25.09.24	John Higgins - Shaun Murphy	4:2
17.07.24	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	6:3
16.01.24	John Higgins - Shaun Murphy	0:4
24.08.23	John Higgins - Shaun Murphy	5:2
10.11.16	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	2:4

John Higgins - Shaun Murphy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide