Match Info

WORLD: World Championship - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Crucible Theatre (Sheffield)


	Stephen Maguire		Shaun Murphy

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.42	1.48	Watch
	2.64	1.51
	2.6	1.5
	1.17	5.05	Watch
	1.16	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.53)	2.49 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stephen Maguire
53.5%

Shaun Murphy
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stephen Maguire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stephen Maguire's performance.

Shaun Murphy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shaun Murphy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stephen Maguire than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stephen Maguire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shaun Murphy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Stephen Maguire - Shaun Murphy Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Maguire will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Murphy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maguire: 64.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maguire won 4.

Maguire is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Murphy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murphy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Murphy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Maguire won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 36-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stephen Maguire
Snooker
21.04.24	Ali Carter - Stephen Maguire	7:10 ✺
16.04.24	Stephen Maguire - Sijun Yuan	10:6 ✺
14.04.24	Stephen Maguire - Ashley Hugill	10:7 ✺
21.03.24	Barry Hawkins - Stephen Maguire	5:1 ✺
20.03.24	Stephen Maguire - Luca Brecel	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW
- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
22.04.24	Shaun Murphy - Haotian Lyu	10:5 ✺
21.03.24	Ding Junhui - Shaun Murphy	5:3 ✺
20.03.24	Joe Perry - Shaun Murphy	3:5 ✺
18.03.24	Xu Si - Shaun Murphy	3:5 ✺
05.03.24	Judd Trump - Shaun Murphy	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
17.04.22	Shaun Murphy - Stephen Maguire	8:10
19.02.21	Shaun Murphy - Stephen Maguire	4:5
22.02.18	Shaun Murphy - Stephen Maguire	2:5
19.08.17	Stephen Maguire - Shaun Murphy	0:5
21.09.16	Shaun Murphy - Stephen Maguire	0:5
16.01.15	Stephen Maguire - Shaun Murphy	4:6
06.01.15	Shaun Murphy - Stephen Maguire	Canceled

Stephen Maguire - Shaun Murphy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide