Match Info

UK Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: York Barbican (York) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:


	Shaun Murphy		Haotian Lyu

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Shaun Murphy
81.1%

Haotian Lyu
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Haotian Lyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Murphy (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 9. Lyu is ranked World Ranking: 48.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lyu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murphy is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:11. (average 6:2.8).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaun Murphy
Snooker
20.11.25	Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy	4:2 ✺
19.11.25	Ronnie O`Sullivan - Shaun Murphy	0:4 ✺
10.11.25	Shaun Murphy - Lei Peifan	1:4 ✺
06.11.25	Shaun Murphy - John Higgins	2:6 ✺
05.11.25	Ding Junhui - Shaun Murphy	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Haotian Lyu
Snooker
26.11.25	Mitchell Mann - Haotian Lyu	5:6 ✺
24.11.25	Haotian Lyu - Matthew Stevens	6:5 ✺
02.11.25	Wu Yize - Haotian Lyu	6:1 ✺
17.10.25	Haotian Lyu - David Grace	Grace D. walkover ✺
11.10.25	Haotian Lyu - Mark Williams	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWL?L

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Shaun Murphy - Haotian Lyu