Match Info

Date: 31 March 2021, Wednesday


	Águila		Sonsonate

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.25
	1.78	3.4	3.65
	1.76	3.3	4.2
	1.79	3.75	4.27
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.88	3.3	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.51)	3.44 ↓ (3.74)	4.14 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
51.5%

Draw
26.5%

Sonsonate
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

14.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águila's form might have worsened.

Sonsonate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sonsonate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonsonate than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Sonsonate have a series of home games.

Águila will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Águila won 11 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 32-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Águila won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
20.03.21	Águila - Isidro Metapán	0:2 ✺
13.03.21	Águila - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0 ✺
10.03.21	Jocoro - Águila	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Municipal Limeño - Águila	1:2 ✺
21.02.21	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWWL
- CD Sonsonate
El Salvador Primera Division
20.03.21	Sonsonate - Chalatenango	3:3 ✺
13.03.21	Isidro Metapán - Sonsonate	0:2 ✺
10.03.21	Sonsonate - CD FAS	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Sonsonate - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:1 ✺
20.02.21	Sonsonate - Isidro Metapán	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
03.01.21	Águila - Sonsonate	1:1
05.12.20	Sonsonate - Águila	0:0
07.03.20	Águila - Sonsonate	1:1
07.12.19	Sonsonate - Águila	1:0
05.12.19	Águila - Sonsonate	1:0
24.11.19	Águila - Sonsonate	2:1
14.09.19	Sonsonate - Águila	2:0

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