Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Municipal Limeño		Águila

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	2.62	2.95	2.52
	2.73	3.2	2.58
	2.73	3.15	2.59	Watch
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.63	3.42	2.53
	2.6	3	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.75)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	2.53 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Limeño
34.5%

Draw
29.3%

Águila
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.4%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Águila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Municipal Limeño - Águila Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Municipal Limeño will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Águila will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', Davila S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 1.

In recent matches, Municipal Limeño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Águila has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Limeño won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aguila	14	5	5	4	22:18	4	20
7	Municipal Limeno	14	5	2	7	19:19	0	17

Last Results with these Odds

Municipal Limeño - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Limeño
El Salvador Primera Division
06.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Municipal Limeño - Isidro Metapán	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cacahuatique - Municipal Limeño	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Municipal Limeño - Inter Santa Tecla	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Municipal Limeño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLL
- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
06.09.26	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Águila - Fuerte San Francisco	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	CD FAS - Águila	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Águila - Atlético Balboa	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Isidro Metapán - Águila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
04.04.26	Municipal Limeño - Águila	2:0
08.02.26	Águila - Municipal Limeño	1:0
19.10.25	Municipal Limeño - Águila	1:2
17.08.25	Águila - Municipal Limeño	2:1
03.05.25	Municipal Limeño - Águila	0:2
09.03.25	Águila - Municipal Limeño	0:2
24.11.24	Municipal Limeño - Águila	0:2

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