Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Águila		Isidro Metapán

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.10	2.80
	2.31	3.14	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.28)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.8 (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
39.1%

Draw
28.8%

Isidro Metapán
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Isidro Metapán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Águila - Isidro Metapán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águila won 2.

Águila has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Isidro Metapán is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Isidro Metapán could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Águila has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:24 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Águila against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Metapan	13	8	2	3	20:12	8	26
5	Aguila	14	5	5	4	22:18	4	20

Last Results with these Odds

Águila - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Isidro Metapán - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
03.10.26	Águila - Cacahuatique	4:1 ✺
30.09.26	Águila - Inter Santa Tecla	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Águila - INCA-Aruba	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
03.10.26	Isidro Metapán - Atlético Balboa	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Isidro Metapán - Cacahuatique	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
07.08.26	Isidro Metapán - Águila	2:1
18.03.26	Águila - Isidro Metapán	1:1
21.01.26	Isidro Metapán - Águila	4:2
29.11.25	Isidro Metapán - Águila	0:2
23.11.25	Águila - Isidro Metapán	2:1
24.09.25	Águila - Isidro Metapán	1:2
23.07.25	Isidro Metapán - Águila	0:0

Águila - Isidro Metapán: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide