Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Águilas		El Palo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.25	5.75
	1.58	3.33	6.8
	1.58	3.33	6.8
	1.57	3.42	6.68
	1.57	3.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 (1.57)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	6.45 ↑ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
58.2%

Draw
27.6%

El Palo
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

27.5%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

20.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Palo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', De La Lama M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', Nwenyi E. 🟥,
73', Aranda Falu ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

El Palo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Águilas is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Águilas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.03.24	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sevilla B - Águilas	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Águilas - San Roque de Lepe	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Águilas	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Águilas - Linense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TTLTL
- CD El Palo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.03.24	El Palo - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Betis B - El Palo	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	El Palo - La Unión	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Antoniano - El Palo	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	El Palo - Cartagena B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	El Palo - Águilas	0:1
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Águilas - El Palo	1:1

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