Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Águilas		Linense

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.1	6.25
	1.54	3.3	6.8
	1.59	3.13	7.96
	1.68	3.18	5.64
	1.57	3.36	6.76
	1.54	3.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.81)	3.23 ↑ (3.16)	6.7 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
57.9%

Draw
28.4%

Linense
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

29.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

29.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

Linense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Linense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Linense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águilas - Linense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Águilas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Linense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Linense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Águilas is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.11.24	Xerez CD - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Águilas - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.24	Águilas - Cadiz CF B	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Águilas	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Águilas - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTT
- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.11.24	Linense - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Cadiz CF B - Linense	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Linense - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Estepona - Linense	4:0 ✺
13.10.24	Linense - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.02.24	Águilas - Linense	0:1
24.09.23	Linense - Águilas	0:0

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