The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águilas 33.1%
Draw 31.9%
Huesca 35%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.3%
29.5%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
28.7%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.
Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huesca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huesca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Águilas - Huesca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 2. Terranova J. 4. Sanchez A. 22. Revuelta A. 23. Martinez H. 3. Mas J. 6. El Arbaoui Y. 7. Serpeta 8. Abenza M. (C) 11. Raigal J. 19. Serrano Iranzo G.
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 24. Garcia V. 15. Molina G. 4. Kembo Y. 3. Rodriguez I. 6. Jimmy Suarez 23. Sielva O. (C) 21. Gomez D. 10. Pascu 11. Redondo L. 18. Juarez A.
Substitutes
10. Castedo J. 16. Collado A. 31. de Teresa E. 15. Fromsa 21. Heredia A. 20. Lobede U. 18. Martinez J. 1. Martinez Marti I. (G) 17. Merchan D. 14. Nyada A. 5. Perez A. 12. Seyran M.
8. Aurelio D. 20. Aznar M. 17. Collado D. 2. Djetei M. 9. Enrich S. 14. Garcia M. 22. Gorostidi A. 19. Herrera C. 13. Killane A. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez A.
Jardiel R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Juarez A. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Kembo Y. ⚽, Redondo L. (A),
45+12', 1 - 1, Serrano Iranzo G. ⚽, Serpeta (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gomez D. ↓, Djetei M. ↑,
61', Jimmy Suarez ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
62', Redondo L. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
63', Serrano Iranzo G. ↓, Castedo J. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Herrera C. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
67', Rodriguez I. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
70', El Arbaoui Y. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
70', Revuelta A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
70', Martinez H. ↓, Heredia A. ↑,
73', Serpeta ↓, Seyran M. ↑,
74', Aurelio D. 🟨,
83', Pascu 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Abenza M. ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 11th).
Recent results have been tough for Águilas (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Huesca has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Águilas has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.
Specifically in home fixtures for Águilas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Huesca
9
2
6
1
11:11
0
12
17
Aguilas FC
9
1
4
4
9:15
-6
7
Last Results with these Odds
Huesca - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.