Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: de Sansteban Adame I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Cartagena		Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.10	2.85	3.40
	2.08	2.92	3.6
	2.18	2.95	3.67
	2.17	2.97	3.69	Watch
	2.13	2.7	3.55
	2.16	3.28	3.54
	2.05	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	3.54 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
43.2%

Draw
31%

Águilas
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Cartagena - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia L. (G) 2. Jurado M. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. (C) 8. De Blasis P. 21. Ajenjo J. 10. Ribeiro I. 14. Villa T. 17. Dacosta R. 9. Ribeiro	1. Martinez Marti I. (G) 2. Terranova J. 15. Fromsa 3. Mas J. (C) 17. Merchan D. 5. Perez A. 21. Heredia A. 10. Castedo J. 20. Lobede U. 11. Raigal J. 19. Serrano Iranzo G.
Substitutes
31. Abellan I. 6. Claveria P. 19. Corral A. 3. Kelo G. 24. Lohr L. 16. Moreno M. 18. Perejon D. 11. Ramirez B. 1. Reyes J. (G) 20. Richarte R.	8. Abenza M. 16. Collado A. 31. de Teresa E. 23. Martinez H. 18. Martinez J. 14. Nyada A. 22. Revuelta A. 13. Salcedo J. (G) 7. Serpeta 12. Seyran M.
Coaches
Velez I.	Hernandez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
5', Heredia A. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Ribeiro I. (Penalty Awarded),
24', 2 - 0, Villa T. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Dacosta R. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 4 - 0, Merchan D. (Own goal),
45+5', 4 - 1, Raigal J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lobede U. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
59', Merchan D. ↓, de Teresa E. ↑,
60', Castedo J. ↓, Seyran M. ↑,
63', Dacosta R. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
63', Ajenjo J. ↓, Claveria P. ↑,
63', Ribeiro I. ↓, Richarte R. ↑,
67', Serrano Iranzo G. ↓, Collado A. ↑,
74', Heredia A. ↓, Nyada A. ↑,
78', Villa T. ↓, Abellan I. ↑,
82', Ribeiro ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
88', Abellan I. 🟨,
90', Seyran M. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Águilas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cartagena has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Cartagena is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cartagena has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	6	3	2	1	9:4	5	11
16	Aguilas FC	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.09.26	Zaragoza - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cartagena - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Algeciras - Cartagena	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Elche Ilicitano - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTWL
- Águilas FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.09.26	Águilas - Hércules	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Algeciras - Águilas	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Águilas - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sant Andreu - Águilas	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Águilas - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.25	Águilas - Cartagena	0:1
26.07.23	Águilas - Cartagena	0:0

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