Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Águilas B		Mazarrón

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3
	2.73	3.13	2.49	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.92	3.34	2.34
	3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.22)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.49 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas B
33.7%

Draw
29.4%

Mazarrón
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águilas B's form might have worsened.

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mazarrón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas B than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águilas B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mazarrón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Águilas B - Mazarrón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Hernandez F. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 1 - 1, Guerrero Y. ⚽,
32', 🟥,
45', 1 - 2, Guerrero Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Águilas B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Aguilas FC B	5	0	5	0	5:5	0	5
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.12.25	El Palmar - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Águilas B - Deportivo Marítimo	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Unión Molinense - Águilas B	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Águilas B - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Santomera - Águilas B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLT
- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.12.25	Mazarrón - UCAM Murcia B	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Mazarrón - Muleño	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	El Palmar - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mazarrón - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Molinense - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWT

Águilas B - Mazarrón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide