Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 12

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Çaykur Rizespor		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.6
	1.65	4	4.7	Watch
	1.7	4.01	5.09
	1.71	4.01	5.09
	1.62	3.9	4.5
	1.69	3.96	4.6	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.1)	3.9 ↑ (3.56)	4.77 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
56.1%

Draw
24.2%

İstanbulspor
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Çaykur Rizespor's performance.

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Çaykur Rizespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Çaykur Rizespor will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Akkan G. (C) 37. Sahin T. 4. Mocsi A. 53. Topcu E. H. 3. Pehlivan H. 54. Pala M. 6. Shelvey J. 11. Gustavo Sauer 10. Olawoyin I. 8. Varesanovic D. 89. Minchev M.	1. Jensen D. (G) 23. Erdogan O. 4. Yesil M. 14. Deli S. 21. Duhaney D. 6. Vorobjovas M. 24. Sarikaya M. 66. Yasar A. 18. Ndao A. 12. Mamadou M. 19. Gultekin E.
Substitutes
2. Alikulov K. 1. Cetin T. (G) 20. Faye M. 9. Gaich A. 5. Hojer C. 7. Keser B. 27. Korkmaz E. 17. Laine J. 21. Oscar Pinchi 16. Yasar S. A.	59. Arda A. (G) 16. Imbula G. 28. Kirtas B. 11. Koylu K. 99. Laurentino J. 10. Rroca E. 20. Sahan O. 7. Sambissa D. 41. Samdanli T. 88. Traore D.
Coaches
Palut I.	Yakin H.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

The competitors look crappy now.

İstanbulspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rizespor is a favorite.

There will not play in Rizespor: Oscar Pinchi (Ankle Injury) Tecimer E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rizespor: Okechukwu A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Deli S. (Foot Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rizespor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Rizespor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
06.11.23	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Kayserispor - Çaykur Rizespor	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Super League
08.11.23	Samsunspor - İstanbulspor	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	İstanbulspor - Pendikspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	İstanbulspor - Kepez Belediyesi	2:3 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
27.10.23	Kasımpaşa - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
22.10.23	İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.04.18	İstanbulspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:3
19.11.17	Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbulspor	3:0
Turkish Cup
01.10.13	İstanbulspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1

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