Match Info

Super Lig - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu (Kayseri)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Kayserispor		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.2	3.55	2.95
	2.39	3.6	3.02
	2.32	3.53	2.95	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.88
	2.33	3.53	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.56)	3.49 ↓ (3.66)	2.99 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
41.3%

Draw
27.1%

Çaykur Rizespor
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.9%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.5%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Çaykur Rizespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Kayserispor - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Rizespor will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 2. Katongo J. 6. Guler S. 4. Denswil S. 23. Carole L. 33. Soyalp F. 15. Ait Bennasser Y. 18. Makarov D. 24. Tokoz D. 9. Onugkha G. 7. Cardoso M. (C)	75. Fofana Y. (G) 54. Pala M. 4. Mocsi A. 27. Sagnan M. 5. Hojer C. (C) 6. Papanikolaou G. 17. Mebude A. 10. Olawoyin I. 20. Laci Q. 7. Mihaila V. 9. Sowe A.
Substitutes
8. Benes L. 30. Brenet J. 63. Chalov F. 17. Kapacak B. 20. Mane C. 11. Mather S. 10. Mendes J. 1. Piri O. (G) 61. Saglam G. 22. Tuci I.	94. Ayan Y. 18. Buljubasic M. 99. Bulut E. 1. Canpolat E. (G) 11. Dervisoglu H. 35. Dogan E. (G) 70. Orak F. 65. Ortakaya E. 19. Pierrot F. 37. Sahin T.
Coaches
Moe E.	Ucar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Katongo J. 🟨,
36', Mihaila V. 🟨,
40', Sagnan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Ait Bennasser Y. 🟨,
58', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
58', Soyalp F. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
67', Mebude A. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
73', Makarov D. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Chalov F. ⚽, Onugkha G. (A),
83', Papanikolaou G. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
83', Sowe A. ↓, Dervisoglu H. ↑,
84', Olawoyin I. ↓, Sahin T. ↑,
84', Pala M. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
86', Tokoz D. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
88', Onugkha G. 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Benes L. ⚽, Chalov F. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 3.

Kayserispor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rizespor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kayserispor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Carole L. (Inactive) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Cihan K. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Health problems)

There will not play in Rizespor: Akaydin S. (Red Card) Alikulov K. (Knee Injury) Antalyali T. (Yellow Cards) Augusto L. (Yellow Cards) Zeqiri A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Rizespor: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Rizespor	7	3	1	3	7:9	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Çaykur Rizespor - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 37.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
20.04.26	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Samsunspor - Kayserispor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
17.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
13.04.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
29.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	0:1
27.04.25	Kayserispor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0
01.12.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	3:0
02.03.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	3:0
21.10.23	Kayserispor - Çaykur Rizespor	3:1
15.04.22	Kayserispor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1
27.11.21	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	1:0

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