Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Çaykur Rizespor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.1	Watch
	2.05	3	4
	2.13	3.17	3.59	Watch
	2.09	3.03	4.35
	2.08	3.07	4.12	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.5
	2.13	3.13	4.22	Watch
	2.13	3.17	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.12)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	3.93 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
45.4%

Draw
30.5%

Bodrumspor
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

33%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	23.8%	9.5%

Çaykur Rizespor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Rizespor will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cetin T. (G) 37. Sahin T. 3. Akaydin S. 2. Alikulov K. 5. Hojer C. (C) 20. Ozcan B. 10. Olawoyin I. 19. Ghezzal R. 8. Varesanovic D. 77. Zeqiri A. 9. Sowe A.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Ergun U. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 26. Mohammed M. 4. Degismez E. (C) 16. Fredy 20. Brazao P. 10. Bardhi E. 70. Bilsel E.
Substitutes
28. Akintola B. 97. Avci D. 18. Buljubasic M. 17. Bulut E. 30. Grbic I. (G) 15. Jurecka V. 45. Karapo A. 4. Mocsi A. 95. Ozbakir H. 54. Pala M.	14. Akpinar T. 41. Bayrakdar G. 33. Celustka O. 7. Dimitrov Z. 22. Ersunar K. (G) 29. Herelle C. 91. Ogruce E. 11. Okita J. 9. Puscas G. 99. Seferi T.
Coaches
Palut I.	Morais J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Akaydin S. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Alikulov K. (Own goal),
28', Brazao P. 🟨,
40', Akaydin S. 🟨,
45+3', Alikulov K. ↓, Mocsi A. ↑,
45+4', Olawoyin I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Varesanovic D. ↓, Jurecka V. ↑,
46', Ozcan B. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
49', Buljubasic M. 🟨,
53', Ergun U. 🟨,
63', 0 - 2, Bardhi E. ⚽, Mohammed M. (A),
64', Degismez E. ↓, Celustka O. ↑,
64', Brazao P. ↓, Seferi T. ↑,
68', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
71', Ergun U. ↓, Herelle C. ↑,
74', Sahin T. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
74', Zeqiri A. ↓, Pala M. ↑,
79', Ghezzal R. ↓, Karapo A. ↑,
80', Nogueira Sousa D. F. 🟨,
82', Fredy ↓, Puscas G. ↑,
83', Bilsel E. ↓, Okita J. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Recent matches Rizespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bodrumspor in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bodrumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rizespor will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rizespor: Korkmaz E. (Broken Leg) Papanikolaou G. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Akkan G. (Injury) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Osman H. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Rizespor: Akintola B. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rizespor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rizespor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
08.03.25	Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	5:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.02.25	Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:3 ✺
17.02.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWL
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
07.03.25	Bodrumspor - Kasımpaşa	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Adana Demirspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
25.02.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.02.25	Bodrumspor - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
21.10.24	Bodrumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1
Turkish First League
12.03.23	Bodrumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2
01.10.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Bodrumspor	2:0

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