The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Étoile Carouge 54.1%
Draw 23.6%
Bellinzona 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
25.9%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
24.7%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Étoile Carouge's performance.
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bellinzona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Étoile Carouge that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bellinzona will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Atangana B. E. (G) 2. Neves D. 25. Felder V. 4. Strohbach I. 3. Hoxha F. 33. Bua K. (C) 20. Walker M. 10. Caslei B. 88. Essiena Avang L. 76. Itaitinga 99. Bouchlarhem T.
1. Godwin N. (G) 91. Mihajlovic D. (C) 6. Trapero 3. Sorensen A. 80. Kury J. 77. Grano A. 25. Ayala D. 88. Mosquera D. 10. Lymann F. 7. Rossier E. 99. Lopez A.
Substitutes
27. Correia O. 18. Diallo M. M. (G) 6. El Jaouhari M. 77. Escorza T. 24. Fankhauser S. 7. Patricio A. 11. Samba T. 17. Sene O. 14. Zrankeon G.
20. Mayorga J. 92. Moulin P. 16. Muci A. (G) 5. Rizvanovic M. 22. Trochen E. (G)
Coaches
Nogueira P.
Sannino G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Rossier E. ⚽, Grano A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Neves D. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
49', Lymann F. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Hoxha F. ⚽,
65', Essiena Avang L. ↓, Correia O. ↑,
67', Lopez A. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
71', Lymann F. ↓, Moulin P. ↑,
72', Mosquera D. 🟨,
80', Itaitinga ↓, Sene O. ↑,
80', Caslei B. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
83', Mihajlovic D. ↓, Rizvanovic M. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Bua K. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Bua K. ↓, Patricio A. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Ayala D. ⚽, Moulin P. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 4.
In recent matches, Étoile has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bellinzona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Étoile is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Étoile: Boulkous N.
(Inactive)
Harrington F.
(Injury)
Ricardo Alves
(Inactive)
Rufli V.
(Injury)
There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D.
(Knee Injury)
Jaiteh M.
(Inactive)
Jashari E.
(Injury)
Rey A.
(Yellow Cards)
Sadiku A.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 3.3:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Etoile-Carouge
9
2
3
4
8:12
-4
9
Last Results with these Odds
Étoile Carouge - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Bellinzona - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.78%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Atangana B. E. (G) 
Neves D. 
Felder V. 
Hoxha F. 
Itaitinga 
Trapero 
Kury J. 
Grano A. 
Ayala D. 
Diallo M. M. (G) 
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