Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du 4 Aout (Ouagadougou)


	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou		ASF Bobo Dioulasso

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.15	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.54)	3.15 ↑ (3)	4.5 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
51%

Draw
28.8%

ASF Bobo Dioulasso
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou's performance.

ASF Bobo Dioulasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASF Bobo Dioulasso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASF Bobo Dioulasso than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASF Bobo Dioulasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Belem A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 1.

Étoile Filante has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ASF Bobo Dioulasso is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Étoile Filante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile Filante won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	ASF Dioulasso	3	1	1	1	3:4	-1	4

Last Results with these Odds

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso Premier League
12.04.26	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Majestic	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	AS Douanes - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Vitesse	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	ASFA Yennenga - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Rail Club du Kadiogo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTLTW
- ASF Bobo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso Premier League
11.04.26	RC Bobo Dioulasso - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - ASFA Yennenga	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Sporting Cascades - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - Vitesse	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - AS Douanes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
10.10.25	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	1:1
13.11.22	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	1:1
02.10.21	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:0
08.05.21	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	2:1
23.10.20	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	2:0
21.10.19	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	1:1

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