Match Info

Superettan - Round 20

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Örebro		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.30	2.30
	2.75	3.25	2.45
	3	3.49	2.39
	2.92	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.3
	2.89	3.34	2.34	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)	3.37 ↑ (3.31)	2.32 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
32.7%

Draw
27.5%

Varbergs BoIS
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	21.4%	78.6%

Örebro - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varberg: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Örebro (5.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Örebro (votes: 1 - 50%). Varberg (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 19. Haliti J. 32. Stenberg J. 3. Sandberg V. 99. Yasin A. 5. Ortmark J. 8. Kusu M. 9. Yakoub A. 17. Holmberg K. (C) 7. Wikman S. 10. Wiedesheim-Paul R.	29. Strindholm D. (G) 22. Dahlstrom N. 17. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. 5. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 23. Sibelius L.
Substitutes
15. Astvald L. 22. Bovalina G. 14. Dana H. 2. Ghasem A. 18. Hrastovina E. 11. Redenstrand C. 30. Runheim B. (G) 12. Salihovic D. 21. Wahlstrom F.	9. Bitiqi A. 24. Bryneus O. 1. Ekman O. (G) 15. Johansson N. 12. Kahed L. 19. Nilsson J. 16. Thorsson A. 20. Werner O. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Norling R.	Salwen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Yakoub A. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Yakoub A. ⚽, Ortmark J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Dahlstrom N. ↓, Johansson N. ↑,
56', Sibelius L. ↓, Nilsson J. ↑,
66', Yakoub A. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Winbo A. ⚽,
70', Arlig W. ↓, Werner O. ↑,
70', Borgelin S. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
78', Holmberg K. ↓, Salihovic D. ↑,
81', Yakoub A. ↓, Redenstrand C. ↑,
88', Wikman S. ↓, Ghasem A. ↑,
88', Vidjeskog I. ↓, Kahed L. ↑,
89', Sandberg V. ↓, Astvald L. ↑,
90+2', Yasin A. ↓, Wahlstrom F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Örebro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Varberg: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Varberg	25	13	5	7	44:33	11	44
14	Orebro	25	5	9	11	27:39	-12	24

Last Results with these Odds

Örebro - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Sollentuna - Örebro	1:4 ✺
Swedish Superettan
14.08.26	Brage - Örebro	3:3 ✺
10.08.26	Norrby - Örebro	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Örebro - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
27.07.26	Örebro - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLLT
- Varbergs BoIS
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Böljan - Varbergs BoIS	0:5 ✺
Swedish Superettan
15.08.26	United Nordic - Varbergs BoIS	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Varbergs BoIS - Sandviken	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Öster - Varbergs BoIS	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
02.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	0:0
24.09.25	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
07.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	2:1
05.10.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	1:1
22.04.24	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	3:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.21	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	0:3
16.08.21	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	1:0

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