Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 9

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Jamtkraft Arena (Ostersund)

Referee: Buqa F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Östersund		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.6	4.1
	1.78	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.79	3.92	4.5
	1.79	3.92	4.16
	1.73	3.6	4
	1.77	3.78	4.26	Watch
	1.73	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	4.27 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Östersund
53%

Draw
25.1%

Gefle
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

28.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Östersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Östersund - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Östersund will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Gefle will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Östersund: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mills A. (G) 3. N’sa C. 23. Suljic A. (C) 5. Jablinski K. 28. Adjoumani Y. 11. Musolitin M. 16. Sporrong A. 8. Erick Brendon 15. Hopcutt J. 10. Marklund S. 9. Karlsson Grach S.	27. Johansson T. (G) 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 5. Hakansson N. 7. Edqvist A. 35. Adrian S. 44. Ranera I. 24. Rafael Y. 10. Yakoub A. 11. Englund L. 8. Lundin A.
Substitutes
27. Ghanoum Z. 6. Hedenquist J. 21. Kroon S. 1. Lundhall C. (G) 19. Nader A. 20. Oluwayemi M. 14. Ordonez A.	2. Adel I. 18. Capotondi C. 14. Friman S. P. 20. Hjelm A. 9. Hjelte J. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A.
Coaches
Powell M.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Suljic A. ⚽, Erick Brendon (A),
32', 1 - 1, Jablinski K. (Own goal),
38', 2 - 1, Erick Brendon (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 3 - 1, Karlsson Grach S. ⚽, Adjoumani Y. (A),
66', Adjoumani Y. 🟨,
69', Lundin A. ↓, Hjelte J. ↑,
69', Ranera I. ↓, Capotondi C. ↑,
71', Suljic A. ↓, Ghanoum Z. ↑,
71', Marklund S. ↓, Kroon S. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Hjelte J. ⚽, Capotondi C. (A),
78', N’sa C. 🟨,
79', 3 - 3, Hjelte J. ⚽, Yakoub A. (A),
80', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
85', 4 - 3, Erick Brendon (Pen),
86', Musolitin M. ↓, Hedenquist J. ↑,
89', Ghanoum Z. 🟨,
90+6', Rafael Y. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Östersund is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gefle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Östersund is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Östersund won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Östersund won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
18.05.24	Skövde AIK - Östersund	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Brage - Östersund	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Östersund - Örebro	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Helsingborg - Östersund	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Östersund - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTTT
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
17.05.24	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Gefle - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Öster - Gefle	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Gefle - Sandviken	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Oddevold - Gefle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
16.09.23	Östersund - Gefle	2:2
22.07.23	Gefle - Östersund	2:2

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