Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Krsmanovic J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Gefle		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.2
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.33	3.35	3.21
	2.29	3.31	3.21
	2.2	3.25	2.88
	2.26	3.4	3.05	Watch
	2.19	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.37)	3.3 ↑ (3.22)	3.08 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
41.4%

Draw
28.3%

Sundsvall
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Sundsvall aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Gefle - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gefle: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Johansson T. (G) 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 5. Hakansson N. 7. Edqvist A. 44. Ranera I. 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 18. Capotondi C. 11. Englund L. 10. Yakoub A.	1. Olsson J. (G) 3. Jelassi M. 4. Svanberg L. 2. Peprah Oppong K. 18. Forsberg L. 23. Aviander H. 6. Hudu A. 7. Burman M. 19. Finey Y. 17. Nordh G. 21. Engblom P. (C)
Substitutes
2. Adel I. 35. Adrian S. 14. Friman S. P. 20. Hjelm A. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A. 8. Lundin A.	14. Bengtsson J. 13. Henareh D. (G) 12. Lindgren P. 8. Manchon M. 5. Olsson D. 15. Palomino M. 44. Stojanovic Fredin O.
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Jakobsen D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Browning L. ⚽, Ranera I. (A),
22', Burman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yakoub A. ↓, Adrian S. ↑,
46', Browning L. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
63', Capotondi C. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
64', Lundin A. 🟨,
67', Burman M. ↓, Olsson D. ↑,
67', Finey Y. ↓, Stojanovic Fredin O. ↑,
77', Hudu A. ↓, Bengtsson J. ↑,
77', Forsberg L. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
82', Englund L. ↓, Hjelm A. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gefle won 1.

Recent matches Gefle is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sundsvall is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gefle will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gefle won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
12.05.24	Gefle - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Öster - Gefle	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Gefle - Sandviken	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Oddevold - Gefle	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTLT
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
11.05.24	Sundsvall - Landskrona	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Oddevold - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Sundsvall - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Utsikten - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Sundsvall - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.02.24	Sundsvall - Gefle	6:1
Swedish Superettan
28.09.23	Sundsvall - Gefle	2:2
31.05.23	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:3
Club Friendly
06.02.21	Sundsvall - Gefle	0:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.10.16	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:1
07.04.16	Sundsvall - Gefle	1:2
Club Friendly
12.03.16	Sundsvall - Gefle	3:2

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