Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Ørn-Horten		Jerv

	1	X	2
	4.4	4	1.55
	4.5	4	1.62
	4.37	4.09	1.63
	4.58	4.21	1.64	Watch
	4.45	4.05	1.6
	4.8	4.1	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.07)	4.08 ↑ (3.66)	1.6 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
20.3%

Draw
22.4%

Jerv
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.9%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ørn-Horten's form might have worsened.

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ørn-Horten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ørn Horten - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solberg K. (G) 15. Auby J. 4. Forsund A. (C) 19. Hamde D. 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 7. Lindquist Ch. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 28. Werni S.	20. Ovretveit O. (G) 17. Furaha J. 4. Jablinski K. 16. Krogelien H. 19. Mafi I. 5. Markmanrud L. 40. Osestad S. 80. Trengereid M. 2. van der Meer J. 6. Wichmann M. (C) 14. Wilson P.
Substitutes
25. Bamenye F. 17. Hargott C. 12. Lille T. (G) 21. Ottesen M. 5. Pop S. 13. Skullestad V. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E. 6. Tornby F. 23. Wivestad S.	32. Bertelsen H. 23. Duesund E. 3. Larade L. 39. Mahlaw S. 1. Olsvoll A. (G) 13. Skeie P. 38. Tonnessen J. 8. Ugland M.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Relegation: )).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jerv is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jerv will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.09.24	Brann 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Viking 2	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Hødd - Ørn-Horten	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ørn-Horten - Kvik Halden	1:2 ✺
16.08.24	Vard Haugesund - Ørn-Horten	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLW
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.09.24	Jerv - Arendal	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Lysekloster - Jerv	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Jerv - Eik-Tønsberg	0:0 ✺
28.08.24	Jerv - Kvik Halden	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Flekkerøy - Jerv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.04.24	Jerv - Ørn-Horten	1:0

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