Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)


	Ørn-Horten		Vard Haugesund

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.7	2.9
	2.05	3.75	3
	2.04	3.75	3.21
	2.04	3.71	3.21
	1.91	3.7	3
	1.99	3.7	3.09	Watch
	2	3.7	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.97)	3.72 ↓ (4)	3.07 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
45.6%

Draw
24.6%

Vard Haugesund
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

22.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

20.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vard Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vard Haugesund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ørn Horten - Vard Haugesund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 17. Hargott C. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 21. Ottesen M. 5. Pop S. 9. Rogulj A. 24. Schie P.	1. Strand S. (G) 8. Bjornebye T. 20. Ekrene A. 15. Haaland S. L. 6. Harvey A. 3. Helgesen S. 21. Jensen J. 7. Jensen S. (C) 4. Jonassen J. 14. Osdautaj D. 30. Soderlund A.
Substitutes
15. Auby J. 25. Bamenye F. 19. Hamde D. 11. Helling G. 14. Krawiec A. 28. Larsen Y. 12. Sande Arntsen F. (G) 27. Skulstad-Hansen E.	23. Bergjord T. 13. Emberland D. B. (G) 17. Fauskanger P. 9. Olufsen J. 12. Shala E. 22. Tjoland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Jensen S. ⚽,
31', Harvey A. ↓, Shala E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ottesen M. ↓, Helling G. ↑,
46', Hargott C. ↓, Bamenye F. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Soderlund A. ⚽,
65', Schie P. ↓, Krawiec A. ↑,
69', Knutsen T. ↓, Auby J. ↑,
76', Haaland S. L. ↓, Tjoland M. ↑,
79', Shala E. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vard Haugesund is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ørn-Horten will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ørn-Horten won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.06.24	Sotra - Ørn-Horten	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Ørn-Horten - Lysekloster	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:2 ✺
16.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Eik-Tønsberg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTW
- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.06.24	Vard Haugesund - Jerv	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Brattvåg - Vard Haugesund	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Vard Haugesund - Eik-Tønsberg	0:1 ✺
27.05.24	Brann 2 - Vard Haugesund	7:3 ✺
21.05.24	Vard Haugesund - Viking 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
23.09.23	Vard Haugesund - Ørn-Horten	2:2
15.04.23	Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund	3:0
17.09.22	Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund	1:1
30.04.22	Vard Haugesund - Ørn-Horten	2:0

Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide