Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Cemo Arena (Kristiansand)


	Flekkerøy		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.15	3.6	2.9
	2.21	3.55	2.96
	2.22	3.45	2.96
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.16	3.52	2.87
	2.14	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	3.5 ↓ (3.58)	2.87 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flekkerøy
42.2%

Draw
26%

Ørn-Horten
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flekkerøy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Flekkerøy - Ørn Horten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knezovic A. (G) 30. Brandal N. 8. Eftevaag L. 4. Kongerud T. 3. Lien F. 14. Madsen M. 40. Osestad S. 5. Sundo B. 9. Valand S. 22. You X. 15. Ystanes S. (C)	1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 17. Hargott C. 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 14. Krawiec A. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 5. Pop S. 9. Rogulj A.
Substitutes
17. Fredriksen A. 6. Johnsen D. W. 13. Kristiansen M. (G) 7. Nahiry E. 20. Sorum A.	15. Auby J. 25. Bamenye F. 19. Hamde D. 28. Larsen Y. 12. Sande Arntsen F. (G) 27. Skulstad-Hansen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Pop S. 🟨,
64', Kadriu A. 🟨,
74', Helling G. ↓, Auby J. ↑,
78', Valand S. ↓, Nahiry E. ↑,
78', Madsen M. ↓, Johnsen D. W. ↑,
82', Brandal N. ↓, Fredriksen A. ↑,
86', Hargott C. ↓, Bamenye F. ↑,
90', Fredriksen A. 🟨,
90+1', Sundo B. 🟥,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flekkerøy won 3.

Flekkerøy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flekkerøy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Flekkerøy won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Flekkerøy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.05.24	Jerv - Flekkerøy	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Flekkerøy - Sotra	0:3 ✺
11.05.24	Notodden - Flekkerøy	0:1 ✺
06.05.24	Flekkerøy - Viking 2	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Hødd - Flekkerøy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.05.24	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:2 ✺
16.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Eik-Tønsberg	3:2 ✺
13.05.24	Viking 2 - Ørn-Horten	4:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Hødd	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.07.23	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	0:1
24.06.23	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	3:1
09.07.22	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	1:5
18.06.22	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	2:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
17.09.16	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	4:3
27.05.16	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	2:1

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