Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)


	Ørn-Horten		Lysekloster

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.45
	2.25	3.75	2.65
	2.29	4	2.62
	2.28	3.96	2.61
	2.1	3.9	2.5
	2.21	3.86	2.53
	2.23	3.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.85)	3.86 ↓ (4.33)	2.57 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
40.9%

Draw
23.6%

Lysekloster
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

21%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

20.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ørn-Horten's form might have worsened.

Lysekloster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lysekloster's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ørn-Horten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lysekloster than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lysekloster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ørn Horten - Lysekloster Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 17. Hargott C. 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 5. Pop S. 9. Rogulj A. 24. Schie P.	1. Melnicenko V. (G) 8. Andersen H. 32. Bolso J. 10. Dang A. (C) 5. Eftevaag J. 15. Gamachis D. 11. Kilen L. 4. Marthinussen N. 13. Moula Y. M. 18. Nordvold Lunde J. 33. Wawrzynkiewicz M.
Substitutes
15. Auby J. 25. Bamenye F. 19. Hamde D. 28. Larsen Y. 21. Ottesen M. 12. Sande Arntsen F. (G) 27. Skulstad-Hansen E.	9. Campher D. 21. Hildal T. 92. Korneiciks D. (G) 31. Kvarven J. 20. Marthinussen S. 2. Rinde H. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Gamachis D. 🟨,
36', Nilsen S. 🟥,
37', 0 - 1, Dang A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Helling G. ↓, Larsen Y. ↑,
66', Schie P. ↓, Ottesen M. ↑,
70', Moula Y. M. ↓, Hildal T. ↑,
70', Bolso J. ↓, Kvarven J. ↑,
74', Hargott C. ↓, Auby J. ↑,
85', Kadriu A. ↓, Bamenye F. ↑,
86', Gamachis D. ↓, Campher D. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Dang A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lysekloster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.06.24	Flekkerøy - Ørn-Horten	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:2 ✺
16.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Eik-Tønsberg	3:2 ✺
13.05.24	Viking 2 - Ørn-Horten	4:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Hødd	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWLW
- Lysekloster IL
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
01.06.24	Lysekloster - Hødd	0:1 ✺
27.05.24	Viking 2 - Lysekloster	5:1 ✺
21.05.24	Lysekloster - Brann 2	4:3 ✺
11.05.24	Sotra - Lysekloster	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.05.24	Lysekloster - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWWL

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