Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Quba OIK stadionu (Quba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	İmişli		Araz Naxçıvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	2.98	2.22	Watch
	3.22	3.01	2.25	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.2
	3.28	2.9	2.22
	3.25	2.83	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 (3.2)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)	2.22 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İmişli
28.3%

Draw
31%

Araz Naxçıvan
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

31.7%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

30.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İmişli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

İmişli - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Araz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sinenko A. (G) 21. Agazada A. 29. Banguera E. 23. Diogo Rollo 9. Dos Santos D. 7. Juninho 17. Morgan E. 14. Ronaldo 19. Salahly A. (C) 94. Viegas R. 6. Yaw M.	94. Ahmadli T. (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 24. Ahmadzada M. 5. Alxasov 6. Andrade P. 70. Boli C. 77. Bruno Franco 8. Diniyev C. 3. Hasanalizada B. 7. Keyta H. 11. Simakala B.
Substitutes
5. Inqilably I. 44. Isayev H. 10. Karaklajic N. 97. Mahmudov K. 30. Mursalli K. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 77. Rahimzada E. 70. Tahirov M. 3. Yusifli T.	12. Avram C. (G) 26. Buludov O. 19. Cohen B. 14. Isgandarov U. 16. Ramon Machado 23. Rodrigues N. 29. Wanderson
Coaches
Casquilha	Demchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Abbasov U. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
14', Morgan E. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Boli C. ⚽,
28', Yaw M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yaw M. ↓, Inqilably I. ↑,
49', Alxasov 🟨,
53', Ronaldo 🟨,
70', Simakala B. 🟨,
72', Agazada A. ↓, Karaklajic N. ↑,
81', Morgan E. ↓, Isayev H. ↑,
82', Boli C. ↓, Ramon Machado ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Dos Santos D. ⚽,
85', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
89', Yusifli T. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Ramon Machado ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6).

İmişli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Araz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Araz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
12	Araz	6	0	2	4	5:13	-8	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.12.25	Zira - İmişli	0:0 ✺
15.12.25	İmişli - Karvan	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Sumgayit - İmişli	1:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.12.25	İmişli - Sabah	1:2 ET ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.11.25	İmişli - Sabah	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLL
- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.12.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	5:1 ✺
09.12.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	0:1 ET ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.11.25	Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
03.10.25	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	2:0
Azerbaijan First Division
14.02.23	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	3:0

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