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Current Win Probability
Araz Naxçıvan 41.1%
Draw 31.2%
Shamakhi 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
30.3%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
31.4%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Araz Naxçıvan - Shamakhi Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Araz will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Araz (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Avram C. (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 24. Ahmadzada M. 6. Andrade P. 70. Boli C. 77. Bruno Franco 8. Diniyev C. 3. Hasanalizada B. 17. Paro I. 16. Ramon Machado 11. Simakala B.
1. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 82. Abbasov R. 7. Adilkhanov E. 5. Agcabayov A. (C) 13. Apolinario R. 11. Balau D. 4. Cezar 44. David Santos 97. Mammadov O. 9. Rossi K. 3. Veremeev V.
Substitutes
94. Ahmadli T. (G) 5. Alxasov 26. Buludov O. 19. Cohen B. 14. Isgandarov U. 7. Keyta H. 22. Mustafayev E. 2. Qarayev Q. 23. Rodrigues N.
6. Antonio Lara 14. Gafarov R. 21. Ismayilov B. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Maharramli R. 90. Mansumov D. 77. Mehraliyev N. 24. Muradly S. 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 19. Shuaibu A. 27. Suleymanov E.
Coaches
Bakshiev E.
Abbasov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Andrade P. ⚽,
72', Paro I. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
74', Ahmadzada M. 🟨,
74', Agcabayov A. 🟨,
77', Ahmadzada M. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
77', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
77', Mammadov O. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Boli C. ⚽,
87', Veremeev V. ↓, Mansumov D. ↑,
89', Apolinario R. ↓, Ismayilov B. ↑,
90', Boli C. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
90', Diniyev C. ↓, Qarayev Q. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 3.
Araz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shamakhi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Shamakhi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Araz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Azerbaijan
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Avram C. (G) 
Abbasov U. (C) 
Andrade P. 
Boli C. 
Bruno Franco 
Paro I. 
Simakala B. 
Ricardo Fernandes (G) 
Rossi K. 
Veremeev V. 
Cohen B. 
Shuaibu A. 
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